March 2025 Purchase indicators of Plastics, Crude Oil, Rubber, Cotton, Sea freight, Currencies, Inflation Year, China Export rebates and China VAT

March 2025 Purchase indicators of Plastics, Crude Oil, Rubber, Cotton, Sea freight, Currencies, Inflation Year, China Export rebates and China VAT

 

The Electric bike industry March 2025 purchase indicators are like below:

 

Rubber decreased by 11.3%, crude oil decreased by 1.4% in March (and a bigger drop in April so far). The container freight rates from China to Europe decreased around 10%-15%, and China to USA rates decreased by around 15%-30% in March.

 

 

Europe Plastics prices: Plastics: prices moved within narrow changes.

Original: https://www.plasticportal.eu/  Unit: EUR/Ton

Indicator Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24 Ju.-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25
PS (normal/clear) 2,020 2,000 1,980 1,980 1,890 1,830 1,840 1,600 1,650 1,650 1,660 1,640  1,660
HDPE (injection) 1,430 1,310 1,340 1,340 1,390 1,280 1,460 1,360 1,240 1,320 1,300 1,310  1,330
LLDPE (foil) 1,440 1,310 1,290 1,290 1,210 1,320 1,350 1,290 1,190 1,230 1,300 1,340  1,350
LDPE (foil) 1,550 1,310 1,300 1,300 1,280 1,380 1,410 1,360 1,280 1,310 1,370 1,460  1,480
PVC (foil) 1,050 1,120 1,140 1,120 1,040 1,065 1,055 1,055 975 975 965 965  985
ABS (natural) 2,265 2,300 2,330 2,330 2,380 2,340 2,330 2,230 2,250 2,210 2,230 2,250  2,250
PC (clear bright) 3,530 3,530 3,530 3,530 3,220 3,410 3,380 3,330 3,220 3,260 3,350 3,410  3,300
PP (homo) 1,540 1,350 1,400 1,400 1,400 1,460 1,510 1,410 1,380 1,400 1,420 1,460  1,470

 

 

Oil: price declined from USD 70/bbl to USD 69/bbl in March(-1.4%), as the US-China trade war is expected to shrink the demand.

  • Although Trump granted exclusions from steep tariffs on electronic products imported from China, he indicated that a new round of levies will be announced in due course, adding to continued uncertainty.
  • OPEC+ decided to faster increase output.
  • On the geopolitical front, signs of easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran may further boost global supply, particularly for key buyer China.

 

Rubber: Rubber: price increased from USD 1,930/ton to USD 2,030 in March(+5.2%).

Cotton: price drop from USD 1,500/ton to USD 1,430/ton in March(-4.7%, 1,470/ton as of today).

  • Concerns about US trade policies.
  • The USDA reported an increase in upland cotton net sales.
  • Improved demand was noted, with expectations for strong sales from March through May.
  • Overall, market sentiment showed signs of recovery after a prolonged bearish trend.

 

Packing material original: Euwid

Indicator Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25
Crude oil (USD/bbl)  81  84  77  83  74  73  70  71  68  69  76  70  69
Kraftliner packaging material                  1,000                  1,000                  1,000                  1,075                  1,075                  1,075                  1,110                  1,110                  1,110                  1,110                  1,110                  1,090  1,800
Wellenstoff packaging material                     590                     590                     590                     630                     660                     660                     670                     630                     630                     630                     630             650  1,090
Testliner II packaging material                     620                     620                     620                     660                     690                     690                     700                     660                     660                     660                     660                  680  650
Rubber RSS3 (USD/ton)  1,650  1,630  1,720  1,750  1,630  1,750  1,930  2,000  2,000  2,000  1,930  2,030  680
Cotton (input for CAB)

( USD/ton)

 2,000  1,830  1,730  1,540  1,500  1,500  1,560  1,560  1,560  1,540  1,500  1,430  1,400

 

Sea freight in March:

China – Europe: decreased from USD 1,700/20FT to USD 1,530/20FT (-10%)

Shanghai – Europe: decreased from USD 1,600/20FT to USD 1,360/20FT (-15%).

China – US Westcoast: decreased from USD 960/20FT to USD 810/20FT (-15.6%).

The USA’s  new tariffs will reduce the worldwide trade market and affect the shipping freight a lot.

 

  • USA tariffs on exports from a list of nearly 60 countries range from a level of 11% for Congo to 50% for Lesotho. These duties apply to all exports not loaded by April 9, 2025.

 

  • As the Trump administration seems to target China, many companies in China shift accelerated a China+1 strategy. This trend was apparent in the increases in US trade with Mexico and Canada, and with alternatives in Asia like Vietnam, India, Taiwan and Bangladesh – at the expense of Chinese imports to the US which declined from 20% of total US imports in 2018 to 13% in 2024. This time though, the reciprocal tariffs make these alternatives less attractive. For example, goods from the below countries will meet accelerated tariffs:

Vietnam: 46%, India: 27%, Bangladesh: 37%, Cambodia: 49%

The US tariff policies will be on hold for 90 days to countries who have no retaliatory tariffs.

  • The US tariffs on China import have increased to 145%, and 125% the other way. Both are expected to result in substantially lower ocean transport.

Currencies: Original: wwwoandacom

Currencies:

Currencies in March:

EUR/USD: increase from 1:1.04 to 1:1.08 (+3.85%).

EUR/JPY: increased from 1: 158.05 to 1:160.87 (-1.8%).

EUR/CNY: increased 1:7.56 to 1:7.82 (+3.4%).

USD/JPY: decreased from 1: 1:151.79 to 1:149.14. (-1.7%).

USD/TWD: a little moved from 1: 32.79 to 1:32.97 (+0.5%).

USD/CNY: slight decrease from 1:7.26 to 1:7.25 (-0.14%).

 

Indicator Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sepr-24 Oct-24 Novr-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25
EUR/USD  109  107  108  108  108  110  111  109  106  105  103  104  1.08
EUR/JPY  16271  16504  16836  17005  17112  16146  15887  16322  16310  16122  16202  15805  160.87
EUR/CNY  782  776  781  780  787  787  786  773  765  763  756  756  7.82
EUR/TWD  3441  3467  3490  3484  3540  3550  3547  3498  3436  3411  3400  3414  35.56
USD/JPY  14977  15394  15576  15804  15771  14624  14284  14977  15348  15391  15657  15179  149.14
USD/NT$  3168  3234  3230  3239  3263  3223  3194  3210  3234  3257  3286  3279  32.97
USD/CNY  720  724  723  725  726  715  707  709  720  728  730  726  7.25
EUR/VND  26,850  26,990  27,500  27,370  27,500  27,600  27,350  27,280  26,930  26,620  26,150  26,400  27,540
USD/THB  3594  3675  3660  3671  3623  3471  3326  3335  3439  3413  3425  3375  33.80

 

Inflation Year on Year %, China Export rebates and China VAT

Indicator Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar-25
Japan Inflation (CPI) YOY % 2.70% 2.50% 2.80% 2.80% 2.80% 3.00% 2.50% 2.30% 2.90% 3.60% 4.00% 3.70%
Taiwan Inflation (CPI) YOY % 2.14% 1.95% 2.24% 2.42% 2.52% 2.36% 1.82% 1.69% 2.08% 2.10% 2.66% 1.58% 2.29%
China Inflation (CPI) YOY % 0.10% 0.30% 0.30% 0.20% 0.50% 0.60% 0.40% 0.30% 0.20% 0.10% 0.50% -0.70% -0.10%
Vietnam Inflation (CPI) YOY % 3.97% 4.40% 4.44% 4.34% 4.36% 3.45% 2.63% 2.89% 2.77% 2.94% 3.63% 2.91% 3.31%
China Export rebates 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13%
China VAT 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13%

 

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